Inferring Trade Direction from Intraday Data
Link : Journal of Finance
There are many microstructure models (asymmetric information models, inventory-control models) that use BUY or SELL indicator associated with a trade as a variable for classifying other variables or use it as an exogenous variable for modeling. But the thing is that one needs to infer this variable from the trades and quotes data. The data feed from any exchange contains trades but one never knows whether the trade was in response to BUY order or a SELL order.